AutoZone stock: four weekly closes under 2,915.16, then back over it, and a retest week that closed at 3,120.59
The nearest support is 3,186.36, 0.4% under the price. The nearest resistance is 4,372.96, 36.6% over.
Every figure below was measured on October 26, 2026 and has not been updated since.
AutoZone sells replacement parts, maintenance items and accessories for cars, vans and light trucks. It runs stores in the United States, Mexico and Brazil, and sells online. Most stores also deliver parts to repair garages, car dealers and other trade customers, and give them credit. It also sells ALLDATA software that helps repair shops fix cars and run their business. AutoZone does not repair or install parts itself, and it reports its stores as one segment.
AutoZone closed the week of 19 October at $3,200.76. In the 18 weeks from 1 June, 14 weekly closes were over 2,915.16 and 4 were under it. Did 2,915.16 work as support again?
Support is a price where buyers came before and stopped a fall. Resistance is a price where sellers came before and stopped a rise.
The answer is that the close went back over 2,915.16 in the week of 5 October. In the week of 12 October price went down to 2,877.88 and closed at 3,120.59. That is one retest. One retest is a short record.
Nearest support that held: 3,186.36 dollars on the weekly chart, 0.4% under the weekly close. The monthly chart has support at 2,739.48, 3.2% under the monthly close.
Nearest resistance that held: 4,372.96 dollars on the weekly chart, 36.6% over the weekly close. The monthly chart has resistance at 3,233.55, 14.3% over the monthly close.
Every price is a weekly close in dollars, unless the text says "monthly", "low", "high" or "open".
Business numbers: revenue grew 5.7% in the last 12 months, against 15.8% in 2021
These numbers come from AutoZone's 10-Q filed 12 June 2026. The newest 10-K in the data was filed 27 October 2025.
2021
2022
2023
2024
2025
Last 12 mo
Revenue growth
15.8%
11.1%
7.4%
5.9%
2.4%
5.7%
Operating margin
20.1%
20.1%
19.9%
20.5%
19.1%
18.0%
Free cash flow margin
19.8%
15.6%
12.3%
10.4%
9.5%
8.2%
Return on capital
89.7%
111.9%
102.4%
85.3%
62.7%
53.8%
For each 1 dollar of revenue, the company costs $3.05 today, on the price date 23 October 2026. In the last 12 quarters the low was $2.91, the middle $3.34 and the high $4.14. That is near its 3-year low (2 of 12 quarters were lower).
The price asks for +13.2% a year. That is free cash flow growth over the next 10 years that makes today's price fit for an investor who wants a 9.0% return a year. Method: reverse DCF (discounted cash flow), from the price and the filings.
Set next to it, from the filings: revenue grew +5.2% a year over the last 3 years and +5.7% in the last year. Cash flow over the last 5 years changed by −11.5% a year. The analyst figure is not determined: no analyst data was fetched.
These numbers and the chart below are two separate measurements. They share one number, the price. The business numbers use the price of 23 October 2026. The chart uses weekly closes. The numbers do not say whether the price is right.
2,915.16 was support for 14 weeks, four weekly closes went under it, and the close came back over
Price reached the level in eight weeks before the weekly close back over it and in one week after.
Price first reached 2,915.16 in the week of 1 June. In the 18 weeks from then to the week of 5 October, 14 weekly closes were over the level and 4 were under it.
The four closes under the level came in four weeks in a row, the weeks of 7 September, 14 September, 21 September and 28 September: 2,876.75, 2,855.31, 2,872.16 and 2,792.03. The data does not say why.
In the week of 5 October price opened at 2,782.09, went down to 2,730.65 and closed at 2,939.85, over the level. Volume was 954,500 shares, which is 0.84 times a normal week.
The week of 12 October is the retest. Price went down to 2,877.88, under the bottom of the level at 2,902.20, and closed at 3,120.59. The week of 19 October closed at 3,200.76. A touch after a break is called a retest. There has been one.
Over the price: 4,372.96 is the nearest resistance that held
The weekly chart shows 14 lines over the price and trusts 1 of them: 4,372.96, which is 36.6% over the weekly close.
The monthly chart shows 7 lines over the monthly close of 2,830.02 and trusts 1 of them: 3,233.55, which is 14.3% over.
Under the price: 3,186.36 is 0.4% under, and both charts have a level near 2,739.48
One price axis. Two charts. Each chart is measured on its own.
The weekly chart shows 6 lines under the price and trusts 3 of them: 3,186.36, 2,915.16 and 2,730.65. The nearest, 3,186.36, is 0.4% under the weekly close of 3,200.76. The level spans 3,162.00 to 3,210.72, so the weekly close is inside it.
The monthly chart shows 28 lines under the price and trusts 5 of them. The nearest, 2,739.48, is 3.2% under the monthly close. The level spans 2,728.97 to 2,750.00, and the weekly level 2,730.65 is inside it. That is the one price where the two charts agree.
The weekly chart shows 20 lines in all and does not trust 16 of them. Of those 16, 13 have been crossed 3 times or more and 3 are clues. The monthly chart does not trust 29 of 35 lines. Of those 29, 18 have been crossed 3 times or more, 10 are clues and 1 has switched sides. The monthly chart is measured to September 2026, and October is not finished.
One weekly close that would change this read
A weekly close under 2,902.20. That is the bottom of the level, and price would then be under it again. The return over 2,915.16 on 5 October would not have led to support.
It shows on the weekly chart at the end of a week.
Why this post gives no forecast
1,350 breaks have been measured across the site's companies. The 12 weeks after a break look like any 12 random weeks, whether the level held or not. The measurement gives no basis for a forecast.
